February 3, 2003                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   No. 26

 

Don Bell’s Table Egg Layer Flock Projections and Economic Commentary - 2003

 

(This report was written by Don Bell, University of California Poultry Specialist, emeritus, under the sponsorship of United Egg Producers)

 

                U.S. Estimated Cost of Producing Table Eggs/Income at the Farm Level-  2002  

 


The table below lists our estimated farm egg production costs and farm income for 2002.  This represents the first such report for the entire U.S. egg industry by the author.  Feed costs are based upon regional published prices for corn and soybean meal.  A common feed formula and overhead costs were used to calculate feed prices.   Pullet costs were based upon regional feed prices and regional chick prices.  Egg production was assumed to be 34 dozen/hen (two cycles).  Individual firms within a region are expected to differ from their region’s averages for a variety of reasons.  Regions are expected to vary as well.   For the U.S. average, 6 regions were averaged.  These data are meant for comparison purposes only. 

 

Farm egg prices are defined as the price received for un-processed farm eggs The price varies by the region of the country.  Representative prices for the entire country are difficult to estimate because most eggs today are sold first as processed eggs (cleaned, graded, sized, and cartoned) and the “farm price” may not be used or reported. Others are eggs produced for breaking purposes as opposed to cartoned eggs. For this report, egg income at the farm level is based upon the four region average  for Class 1, nest run egg prices for the year 2002 as published by Urner Barry*.

 

Table 1: U.S. Estimated Cost of Producing Table Eggs/Income at the Farm Level - 2002

(cents/dozen)

Costs

2001

2002

Feed (3.45 lbs/dozen)

21.3

22.6

Pullets (cost/34 dozen)

6.7

6.8

Labor

3.0

3.0

Building and Equip. deprec.

2.9

2.9

Interest

1.8

1.8

Misc.

5.0

5.0

Total

40.7

42.0

Income

38.9

40.0

Net

-1.8

-2.0

* Courtesy of Urner Barry Publications Inc., Toms River, NJ


 

 

USDA NASS “Agricultural Prices” reports higher prices than those used in Table 1 for 2001 and 2002.  Their estimates for “all eggs” (market, table, not hatching) for 2001 was 42.9¢/doz. and, 42.0¢/doz..  These are 4¢ and 2¢ per dozen higher than the UB nest run quotations  for 2001 and 2002 respectively.  If their prices are accurate, income minus costs for the two years would be more like a “break even” situation.  Our estimates for California were minus 4+ ¢/doz. in 2001 and minus 5+ ¢/doz. in 2002.

 

Assuming that nest run eggs on a monthly basis represent the entire production, Table 2 illustrates the relationship between costs and income by month. (UC cost estimates are based on published 6 region corn and soybean meal prices; income is based on UB Class 1 nest run eggs - 4 region average.)

 

Table 2.  Seasonal Farm Costs and Egg Income - U.S. (2002)

Month

Cost of Production

Estimated Income

Net Returns

J

41.1

43.8

+2.7

F

41.3

34.3

-7.0

M

41.1

50.3

+9.2

A

40.5

29.1

-11.4

M

40.7

29.9

-10.8

J

41.0

40.0

-1.0

J

42.2

37.3

-4.9

A

43.1

40.0

-3.1

S

44.1

36.9

-7.2

O

43.2

38.6

-4.6

N

43.1

55.3

+12.2

D

42.9

47.9

+5.0

 

In summary, both 2001 and 2002 were considered to be loss years for the average U.S. producer of table eggs.  Egg prices, and therefore net returns, varied from a low of less than 30 cents per dozen in April/May to a high of more than 50 cents per dozen in March and November.  Net income varied from more than 10 cents per dozen losses to more than 10 cents per dozen profits.

 

We estimate that 2002 was the fourth year in a row where costs exceeded income for the average egg producer (at the farm level).